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文章根据生态足迹的基本原理,结合国际经济学中比较优势的概念,提出生态比较优势假说,构造了RCF指数,利用2011年的数据验证假说,同时利用1996年~2013年的数据构建生态比较优势贸易模型,模型结果表明,如果不考虑价格因素,生态承载力与生态足迹的比值对中国原木进口有一定的影响,RCF的增长率越大,中国从其进口原木的增长率也相应变大。最后从生态比较优势形成的角度,对中国林业发展提出了政策建议。
According to the basic principle of ecological footprint and the concept of comparative advantage in international economics, this paper proposes the ecological comparative advantage hypothesis, constructs the RCF index, makes use of the data validation hypothesis in 2011 and uses the data from 1996 to 2013 to build the ecological comparative advantage The trade model and model results show that the ratio of ecological carrying capacity to ecological footprint has some impact on the import of logs in China, irrespective of the price factor. The greater the growth rate of RCF, the larger the growth rate of China’s imported logs from. Finally, from the perspective of the formation of ecological comparative advantages, the paper put forward some policy recommendations to China’s forestry development.