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养老地产开发的核心战略问题,在于适老化设计、养老配套服务、运作模式与成本精算、有弹性的土地开发控制,及在成本和溢价平衡间选择物业组合。谈到人口老龄化的地产机会,可以先从与住宅地产的“跷跷板”关系谈起,当年轻人对于新房需求的绝对值不再增长时,老年人对于房屋的需求反而会迅速增长。有数据显示,2010-2050年40年间,中国老年人绝对数量及占总人口比例将实现双增长。2014年底我国65岁及以上人口达1.38亿,占总人口比例的10.1%,到2025年老龄人口将增加到2亿。参考美国养老市场发展经验,健康照护产业
The core strategic issues in the development of pension real estate are the aging design, aging support services, operation mode and cost actuarial, flexible land development control, and selection of property portfolio between cost and premium balance. Speaking of the aging population opportunities, we can start with the “seesaw” relationship with residential real estate. When the absolute value of young people’s demand for new houses no longer increases, the demand for housing by the elderly will instead grow rapidly. Statistics show that in the 40 years from 2010 to 2050, the absolute number of Chinese seniors and their share of the total population will double up. By the end of 2014, China’s population aged 65 and above reached 138 million, accounting for 10.1% of the total population. By 2025, the number of elderly people will increase to 200 million. Reference to the United States pension market development experience, health care industry