论文部分内容阅读
一、1994年社会总供需平衡状况决定1995年物价水平将在15%左右1994年,现价总供给(国内生产总值加进口)比上年增长31.9%;社会总需求增长30.5%,供需相抵,需求大于供给3275亿元,供需差率-6.2%,高于-5%的正常差率水平。但与上年-7.3%的差率相比,又有所回落。按现价计算的供需负差率,是衡量当年未被价格吸收的多余需求程度的指标。负差率越大,表明未消化的需求越多。在现实经济生活中,需求(资金)适量超前是必要的,也是正常的,但需求的过多超前则会加重下一阶段通货膨胀负担,不利于经济的稳定发展。1994年的供需差率为-6.2%,依然偏大,这在一定程度上预示着1995年的物价水平将继续滞留在高位上(15%左右)。
I. The balance of total social supply and demand in 1994 determined that the price level in 1995 will be about 15%. In 1994, the current total supply (GDP plus imports) increased by 31.9% over the previous year; the total social demand increased by 30.5%, and the supply and demand were offset. Demand is greater than the supply of 327.5 billion yuan, and the supply-demand differential rate is -6.2%, which is higher than the normal rate of -5%. However, compared with the difference of -7.3% in the previous year, it has dropped again. The supply-demand negative rate calculated at current prices is a measure of the level of excess demand that has not been absorbed by prices during the year. The greater the negative rate, the more undigested demand is. In real economic life, it is necessary and appropriate for demand (funds) to advance in moderation. However, excessive advancement of demand will aggravate the inflation burden in the next stage and will not be conducive to the stable development of the economy. The supply-demand differential rate in 1994 was -6.2%, which is still too large. This to a certain extent indicates that the price level in 1995 will continue to stay at a high level (around 15%).