一、板块运动及各种形变若板块为完全刚性板(球壳),并以均速持续运动的话,以目前技术来验证这一点,大概是比较容易的。一般认为,板块运动的速度为1～10厘米/年左右,若按甚长基线干涉测量或激光测距的精度,早则一年,至迟几年就能检测出板块运动,这时,若在每个板块上,至少布设两个以上观测点,则可确定出地壳板块的旋转(极和角速度)情况。正如多次反复说过的,我们对于板块运动的设想是长期综合的结果。大体上以年为单 First, the plate movement and a variety of deformation If the plate is completely rigid plate (ball shell), and to continue moving at a uniform speed, the current technology to verify this point, probably is relatively easy. Is generally believed that plate movement speed of 1 ~ 10 cm / year, according to very long baseline interferometry or laser ranging accuracy, as early as a year, at least a few years to detect plate movement, this time if the On each plate with at least two observation points laid out, the rotation of the crustal plate (pole and angular velocity) can be determined. As many times have repeatedly said, our vision of plate movement is the result of long-term synthesis. Basically year-long