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我国成品油价格与原油价格倒挂现象长期存在。自1998年以来,政府数次调整成品油价格,今年调整幅度最大。当前国内外成品油价格依然存在差距,推进成品油价格接轨,需要从理论上澄清国内外成品油价格结构差异,计算出真实的国内外成品油价格差距。实现价格接轨这一问题的关键环节是燃油税和养路费征收制度改革。成品油价格接轨会带来一定的风险,对农业、交通运输业以及物价指数带来影响,通过建立面板数据模型对油价的影响力度进行横向和纵向的测算,依据评价结果,结合我国国情提出成品油价格接轨相关建议和对策。
China’s refined oil prices and crude oil prices upside down phenomenon persists. Since 1998, the government has adjusted the prices of refined oil on several occasions and has made the biggest adjustment this year. At present, there is still a gap between the prices of refined oil products at home and abroad and promoting the integration of the prices of refined oil products. Therefore, it is necessary to theoretically clarify the differences in the price structure of refined oil products both at home and abroad and calculate the real gap between the prices of refined oil products at home and abroad. The key link in realizing price convergence is the reform of the fuel tax and road maintenance fee collection system. Oil prices will bring some risks associated with the agricultural, transportation and the index of prices impact, through the establishment of panel data model of the impact of oil prices horizontal and vertical calculations, based on the evaluation results, combined with China’s national conditions proposed products Relevant suggestions and countermeasures of oil price convergence.