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1994年初,国际市场石油实际价格降到了近几十年的最低水平。尽管石油价格在去年二、三季度因也门内战和尼日利亚石油工人罢工曾一度上升到20美元/桶,但随着时间的推移,这些因素对国际市场石油价格的作用逐步减弱,石油价格又回到了近几年来的较低水平。预计1994年国际市场石油价格仍将低于上年,其价格水平将在1993年下降14.9％的基础上再下降3％,大约为15.7美元/桶。 当今国际石油市场十分脆弱。在需求增长和空闲生产能力有限的情况下,即使最微小的石油供应减少和供应减少的威胁都可能
In early 1994, the actual oil price in the international market dropped to its lowest level in recent decades. Although the price of oil rose to as high as 20 U.S. dollars / barrel as a result of the civil war in Yemen and the strike by Nigerian oil workers in the second and third quarters of last year, the role of these factors in the international market has gradually weakened and the price of oil has returned as time goes by The lower level in recent years. It is estimated that oil prices in the international market will still be lower in 1994 than in the previous year, and their price level will drop by 3%, at about 15.7 U.S. dollars / barrel, from the 14.9% decrease in 1993. The international oil market today is very fragile. In the context of limited demand and limited free capacity, even the tiniest oil supply and the threat of diminishing supplies are likely