血吸虫病预测可为血吸虫病防治提供重要的决策依据，而准确地预测可以使血防工作最大限度地利用现有人力、物力、财力。合理的分配和使用有限的资源是疫区各级政府和决策者十分关心的问题。目前的各种有关血吸虫病的预测模型，尚不能充分反应血吸虫病流行的复杂性和流行态势， Schistosomiasis prediction can provide important decision-making basis for the prevention and treatment of schistosomiasis, and accurate prediction can make the blood-prevention work to make maximum use of the existing manpower, material and financial resources. The rational allocation and use of limited resources is a matter of great concern to all levels of government and policy makers in affected areas. The current prediction models of schistosomiasis can not yet fully reflect the complexity and prevalence of schistosomiasis epidemics,