去年夏天以来,国内物价水平呈现加速上行的态势,通胀压力加大日益成为中国经济运行的主要风险。只有厘清本轮通胀压力上涨的真正原因,才有可能认清其潜在的风险,并采取正确的政策和措施。本文从探讨当前通货膨胀产生的原因入手,指出其潜在风险,预测了通胀近期走势并提出监管层今年总体的调控取向。 Since last summer, the domestic price level has shown an upward trend. The inflationary pressure is increasingly becoming the major risk to China’s economic operation. Only by clarifying the real reason for this round of rising inflationary pressures will it be possible to recognize its potential risks and adopt the correct policies and measures. This article starts with the reasons for the current inflation, points out its potential risks, predicts the recent inflation trend and puts forward the overall regulation and control direction of the regulator this year.