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本文利用1991—2006年的省级面板数据研究地方政府农业支出对于农民人均家庭经营性收入和人均纯收入的影响。实证结果发现,总的农业支出、支援农村生产支出、农林水利气象等部门事业费和支援不发达地区都没有增加家庭经营性收入或纯收入,事业费支出甚至还显著降低了农民收入。对内生性的讨论表明这一结论是稳健的。我们发现,财政农业支出力度较低,事业费较多和支农资金的分散化使用等可能都是财政农业支出没有增加农民收入的原因。
This paper uses provincial panel data from 1991 to 2006 to study the impact of local government agricultural expenditures on per capita family operating income and per capita net income of farmers. The empirical results show that the total agricultural expenditures, support for rural production expenditures, forestry, forestry, water conservancy and meteorology and other departmental business expenses and supporting underdeveloped areas did not increase household operating income or net income, operating expenses and even significantly reduce the farmer’s income. Endogenous discussion shows that this conclusion is robust. We found that the fiscal expenditure on agriculture is relatively low, more business expenses and the decentralized use of funds for supporting agriculture are all possible reasons for the fact that fiscal agriculture expenditure does not increase farmers’ income.