一、2012年上半年群体性事件的总体研判从粗略的统计数据看,发生在2012年1月至6月的群体性事件大约7.4万起,与去年同期相比增长了1个百分点。简图如下:由于目前对群体性事件的认定标准,尤其是统计口径各不相同,因此,会有不同的计算方法,进而得出不同的结果。本研究报告所统计的数据,其计算规则是按照群体性事件发生的累计次数来统计,而不是按照类型划分来统计。比如,同样是征地拆迁引起的群体性事件,在A地区发生了,随后也可能在B地区、C地区,乃至更多地 I. Overall Judgment of Mass Events in the First Half of 2012 From the rough statistics, there were about 74,000 mass incidents in January-June 2012, an increase of 1 percentage point from the same period of last year. The diagram is as follows: Due to the current standards for the identification of mass incidents, especially those of different statistical sizes, there are different calculation methods and different results. The data collected in this study are calculated according to the cumulative number of occurrences of mass incidents, rather than by type. For example, the same mass incidents caused by land acquisition and house demolition occurred in Area A, and then may also occur in Area B, Area C or even more