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2015年全球LDPE的总产能约2278.7万吨/年,主要集中在西欧、东北亚、北美和中东。2015年需求量约2022.5万吨,主要消费地区为东北亚和西欧。东北亚是全球最大的LDPE净进口地区,中东、西欧和北美是净出口地区。2015年我国LDPE自给率只有52%,国内LDPE价格随石脑油价格变化而变化。按照经济高、基准和低三种情景模式下,对我国“十三五”LDPE市场和消费预测表明,未来五年,我国LDPE的产能、产量、表观消费量和净进口量依然保持增长态势,自给率不会有大的提高,消费结构依然以薄膜与片材为主,LDPE下游产品市场多元化竞争将更加激烈。
In 2015, the global LDPE capacity was estimated at 22.787 million tons / year, mainly in Western Europe, Northeast Asia, North America and the Middle East. In 2015, the demand will be 20,225,000 tons, with the major consuming areas being Northeast Asia and Western Europe. Northeast Asia is the world’s largest net importer of LDPE, while the Middle East, Western Europe and North America are net exporters. In 2015, the LDPE self-sufficiency rate in China was only 52%. The domestic LDPE price changed with the naphtha price. According to the economic high, standard and low three scenarios, China’s “13th Five-Year” LDPE market and consumption forecast shows that in the next five years, China’s LDPE capacity, output, apparent consumption and net imports remain Growth trend, self-sufficiency rate will not be greatly improved, the consumption structure is still dominated by film and sheet, LDPE downstream product market diversification competition will be more intense.