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虽然短期内商品房库存量较大,但中期压力并不算突出,需要更加关注和警惕未来几年商品房供应偏紧带来的房价上涨压力第二季度以来,房地产市场出现了一定程度的复苏。与此同时,中央一直在强调房地产调控不放松。调控的目的是为了抑制高房价,促进房地产市场健康发展。房价的走势除了受调控政策影响,主要由市场供求关系决定。本文通过分析近年来全国土地供应规模与商品房销售规模的关系,试图对未来几年商品房的供应情况进行预测。土地成交跌幅将持续收窄今年上半年,房地产开发企业土地购置面积为17543万平方米,同比下降19.9%。随着一二线城市房屋成交量的反弹,近期土地市场有所复苏,预计下半年土地市场继续有所升温,全年去年全国土地购置面积为36000
Although short-term large inventory of commercial housing, but the medium-term pressure is not obvious, need more attention and vigilance over the next few years, tight supply of housing prices pressure on housing prices since the second quarter, the real estate market has shown some degree of recovery. In the meantime, the central government has been stressing that real estate regulation will not be relaxed. The purpose of regulation is to curb high housing prices and promote the healthy development of the real estate market. In addition to the trend of house prices affected by regulatory policies, mainly by the market supply and demand. This article attempts to predict the supply of commercial housing in the next few years by analyzing the relationship between the scale of land supply and the sales volume of commercial housing in recent years. Land transaction decline will continue to narrow In the first half of this year, real estate development enterprises purchased land area of 175430000 square meters, down 19.9%. With the second and second tier cities housing turnover rebound, the recent land market recovery, the second half of the land market is expected to continue to have some warming, the national land acquisition last year, an area of 36000