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最近30多年世界科学技术突飞猛进,其发现和发明比过去二千年的总和还多,对世界经济、军事和社会生活都产生了巨大影响。对今后几十年的世界科技发展前景,日本全国科技政策研究所邀请了3000名专家讨论撰写了《2020年的科技预测》一书。书中指出;从1993年到2003年的10年内,人类知识将翻一番;从2004年至2010年的7年内,人类的知识将有“爆炸性”的突破;从2011年到2020年的10年内,人类的知识将比现在增加3至4倍。该研究所对1149项科技突破进行的预测,在今后几十年内,各国将在高科技的16个领域取得重大突破和实用化。取得特别重大进展的将有如下几个领域: 1.电子产业到2000年,全世界的市场总额将由1992年的7600亿美元增加到2万亿美元,因
In the recent 30 years, the science and technology in the world has made rapid progress with more discoveries and inventions than the sum of the two thousand years and tremendous influence on the world economy, military affairs and social life. For the world’s scientific and technological development prospects in the decades to come, Japan’s National Institute of Science and Technology Policy invited 3,000 experts to discuss and write the book “Science and Technology Forecast for 2020”. The book states that human knowledge will double within 10 years from 1993 to 2003 and that human knowledge will have “explosive” breakthroughs in the seven years from 2004 to 2010; 10 from 2011 to 2020 During the year, human knowledge will increase three to four times more than it is now. The Institute forecasts 1149 technological breakthroughs and in the coming decades, all countries will make major breakthroughs and practical applications in 16 high-tech fields. There are several areas where particularly significant progress will be made: 1. The electronics industry By 2000, the total market worldwide will increase from $ 770 billion in 1992 to $ 2 trillion because