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文章建立在协整理论的基础上,运用误差修正模型和Granger因果检验等方法,研究工业化发展和城市化发展对农村居民收入增长的影响及其动态相关性。研究结论表明,无论在短期还是长期,工业化发展和城市化发展都是影响农民收入增长的重要因素,相比而言,工业化发展对农民收入增长的影响更显著更持久。因此,加速我国工业化进程是实现农村居民收入增长的重要推动力,城镇建设工作要和工业化推进有机结合,总体来说,实现工业化发展在现阶段对我国更为重要。
Based on the cointegration theory, the article uses the error correction model and Granger causality test to study the impact of industrialization and urbanization on rural residents’ income growth and its dynamic correlation. The conclusion of the study shows that industrialization and urbanization are both important factors that affect the income growth of peasants in both short and long term. In contrast, the impact of industrialization on peasants’ income growth is more significant and lasting. Therefore, accelerating the process of industrialization in our country is an important driving force to realize the growth of rural residents’ income. The urban construction work must be organically integrated with the industrialization. In general, it is more important for our country to realize industrialization at this stage.