2004年国民经济有望继续保持一个好的发展势头。这一方面将为财政发展奠定更加坚实的基础,但另一方面由于经济社会发展中仍存在一些亟待解决的突出问题,特别是财政支持发展、深化改革和维护社会稳定的任务较重,2004年中央财政收支的矛盾仍将比较突出。这是财政部长金人庆在去年底召开的全国财政工作会上对2004年财政形势作出的基本判断。他分析说,从收入方面看,2004年几乎没有政策性增收因素,而政策性减收因素则增加较多,如落实出口退税机制改革政策、继续调低关税税率;落实再就业、西部大开发、振兴东北地区等老工业基地、鼓励支持高新技术产业发展和深化农村税费改革、减轻农民负担等税收扶持政策都将减少财政收入;加上连续多年财政收入高于经济增长,使通过加强征管促进收入增长的潜力 In 2004, the national economy is expected to maintain a good momentum of development. On the one hand, this will lay a more solid foundation for the development of finance. On the other hand, there are still some prominent problems to be solved urgently in the economic and social development. In particular, the task of supporting the development of finance, deepening reform and maintaining social stability is heavy. In 2004 The contradictions between the central government revenue and expenditure will still be more prominent. This is the basic judgment made by Finance Minister Jin Renqing on the 2004 fiscal situation at the National Conference on Finance held late last year. He analyzed that in terms of income, there were almost no policy-making income increases in 2004 and more policy-related reduction factors, such as the implementation of the export tax rebate reform policy and the continued lowering of the tariff rate; the implementation of the reemployment and the development of the western region , Rejuvenating the old industrial bases in northeast China and other regions, encouraging tax support policies that support the development of high-tech industries, deepening the reform of rural taxes and fees, and reducing the burden on peasants will all reduce their financial revenues. Moreover, for many years in a row, their fiscal revenue is higher than their economic growth, Promote revenue growth potential