国务院发展研究中心宏观经济研究部部长余斌近日在上海表示:我国目前不应该出台新的经济刺激计划,但为防止在多重因素作用下短期内增长速度的过快下滑,宏观政策要在财政、货币政策上适时适度进行微调。预计2012年我国经济运行将呈现“前降后稳”的态势,经济增速有望在三四季度趋稳。从4月份来看,中国经济增长仍然呈现下降趋势。对于目前经济下滑的原因,一是美国发生危机之后,全球经济复苏步伐放缓,由此带来中国出口下降,也就是说外需萎缩构成了中国经济增长下降的 Yu Bin, director of the Macroeconomic Research Department of the State Council Development Research Center, recently said in Shanghai: At present, China should not introduce a new economic stimulus plan. However, in order to prevent the growth rate of the economy from falling too fast in the short run under the multiple factors, Monetary policy timely and appropriate fine-tuning. It is expected that the economic operation in China will show a trend of “going down and stabilizing” in 2012 and the economic growth is expected to stabilize in the 34th quarter. From April, China’s economic growth is still showing a downward trend. The reason for the current economic downturn is that first, after the United States has experienced a crisis, the pace of global economic recovery has slowed, which has led to a decline in China’s exports. In other words, the decline in external demand has resulted in a decline in China’s economic growth.