第二次世界大战后,新的技术出现,新的商圈出现,这是我们已知的发展历程。然而,在历史的每个时期,都存在另一种发展的可能性。新生事物会突然出现,其迹象鲜为人知,人们基本不予置评,只有一些年轻的“疯子”发现了它们。我们现在正处在这样一个阶段。这个阶段充满了惊喜,事物在进行深远的变化,旧人物被历史遗忘,新的英雄不断诞生。比如在商业领域,柯达或者诺基亚就是很好的例子。有些企业帝国一夜之间坍塌,不是因为做了错误的决策,而是因为新生事物出现。一夜之间,新的取代了旧的,人们难以置信,但我们都是这个过程中的一员。这是个孕育巨大转变的时代,充满了惊喜。从控制论的角度来说,这个阶段就像一个“黑匣子”(Black After the Second World War, new technologies emerged and new commercial areas appeared. This is a development that we have known. However, in each period of history, there is another possibility of development. New things will suddenly appear, the signs are notoriously unknown, and people will not comment on it. Only a few young “madmen” have discovered them. We are at this stage now. This stage is full of surprises, things are far-reaching changes, the old people forgotten by history, new heroes continue to be born. For example in business, Kodak or Nokia is a good example. Some business empires collapsed overnight, not because of wrong decisions, but because of new things. Overnight, the new replaced the old, incredible people, but we are all part of this process. This is an era of great change, full of surprises. From a cybernetic point of view, this stage is like a “black box”