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该文选取1995-2013年北京、上海、广州入境商务旅游(IBT)人数与外商直接投资(FDI)的相关数据,定量分析京、沪、广三地IBT与FDI的互动关系,并对二者的关系进行地区差异分析。该文发现:第一,北、上、广IBT与FDI之间存在明显的同步关联性,主要表现在FDI与IBT之间呈现出同步增长、IBT占比与外资依存度之间均呈现出同步下降的特征。其次,依据相关统计数据建立的9个推拉方程表明,北、上、广IBT与FDI之间存在互动关系。即:北、上、广三地FDI对IBT均具有不同程度的带动作用,IBT对FDI也具有不同程度的拉动作用。第三,进一步的对比分析表明,北、上、广IBT与FDI的互动关系具有一定的地区差异,这与这三个城市的分工有关。FDI对IBT的带动作用呈现广州大于上海,上海大于北京的态势,而IBT对FDI的拉动作用则呈现出北京大于上海,上海大于广州的态势。
This paper selects the data of IBT and FDI from 1995 to 2013 in Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou to quantitatively analyze the interaction between IBT and FDI in Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou. Regional differences in the analysis of the relationship. The article finds that there is a clear synergistic relationship between the first, the north, the upper and the broad IBTs and the FDI, which is mainly manifested in the simultaneous growth of FDI and IBT, and the synchronization between IBT proportion and foreign investment dependence Declining characteristics. Second, the nine push-pull equations based on the relevant statistical data show that there is an interaction between IBT and FDI in North, Upper and South China. In other words, FDI in North, Upper and South China all has different degrees of driving effect on IBT, and IBT also has different degrees of pulling effect on FDI. Third, further comparative analysis shows that there is a certain regional difference in the interaction between IBT and FDI in the north, upper and broad regions, which is related to the division of labor among the three cities. The driving effect of FDI on IBT shows that Guangzhou is larger than Shanghai and Shanghai is larger than Beijing. The pulling effect of IBT on FDI shows that Beijing is larger than Shanghai and Shanghai is larger than Guangzhou.