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基于已有文献,从传导路径、国际因素、随机因素等方面对造成我国农产品价格巨幅波动的原因进行分析。我国农产品市场价格是非对称性传导,自然界不可抗拒因素、农产品能源化和金融化高度互动影响我国农产品价格波动,需要发挥宏观政策的引导作用和微观市场自发调节能力,积极引导农业生产模式转型升级,促进农业生产模式、流通渠道、市场结构有效结合。注重未来农产品市场价格预期,防范风险。
Based on the existing literature, the causes of huge fluctuations in the prices of agricultural products in China are analyzed from the aspects of conduction path, international factors and stochastic factors. The market price of agricultural products in China is an asymmetric transmission and an irresistible factor in nature. The highly interactive energy supply and financialization of agricultural products affect the price volatility of agricultural products in our country. It is necessary to give play to the guiding role of macroeconomic policies and the voluntary regulation of micro markets, and actively guide the transformation and upgrading of agricultural production modes. Promote agricultural production patterns, distribution channels, market structure and effective combination. Pay attention to the future price expectations of agricultural products market to prevent risks.