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在中国的碳排放问题上,对外贸易和FDI分别扮演了什么角色,是增加还是抑制了中国的碳排放呢?本文采用面板向量自回归模型(PVAR)分析中国各个区域的碳排放量与对外贸易、外商直接投资之间的动态关联性。实证结果表明FDI的流入对于区域碳排放是具有一定的抑制作用的,也就是说FDI的“污染天堂”(Pollution Heaven)假说在中国并不成立。FDI流入在一定程度上有利于我国碳排放问题的改善。对外贸易在一定程度上恶化了我国碳排放问题。
What is the role of foreign trade and FDI in China’s carbon emissions and whether they increase or decrease China’s carbon emissions? This paper uses panel PVA to analyze the relationship between carbon emissions in various regions of China and foreign trade , The dynamic correlation between foreign direct investment. The empirical results show that the inflow of FDI has a certain inhibitory effect on regional carbon emissions, that is, the “Pollution Heaven” hypothesis of FDI is not established in China. To a certain extent, the inflow of FDI is conducive to the improvement of China’s carbon emissions. To a certain extent, foreign trade has worsened China’s carbon emissions.