徐宏源认为,2002年,由于世界经济形势的持续低迷,外需的不振,我国经济将面临比较大的挑战和回调压力,如果货币政策和财政政策应对不当,那么2002年上半年我国的经济出现减速运行的可能性较大。中央经济工作会议提出2002年我国经济增长的预期目际为7%,这一目标是在充分考虑了国际国内形势后制定的,也考虑到了年度计划与中长期规划相互衔接的需要,从经济运行的趋势来看,经过努力是可以实现的。但是我们也一定要认识到实现这一目标是有相当难度的,宏观经济政策必须根据形势的变化随时做出灵活、适度、准确的调整。随着世界经济增长势头的减缓,2001年 According to Xu Hongyuan, in 2002, due to the continuous downturn of the global economic situation and sluggish external demand, China’s economy will face relatively large challenges and callback pressures. If monetary policy and fiscal policy are not properly handled, then the economy of our country will slow down in the first half of 2002 The possibility of greater. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed that the expected target of economic growth in China in 2002 should be 7%. This target has been formulated after fully considering the international and domestic situations. It also takes into account the need of interconnecting the annual plan with the medium-term and long-term plans, The trend of view, through hard work can be achieved. However, we must also realize that it is quite difficult to achieve this goal. Macroeconomic policies must make flexible, moderate and accurate adjustments at any time according to changes in the situation. As the world economy slows down, 2001