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以AHP层次分析法为工具,通过案例分析,对现代煤化工企业投资风险因素进行评价。建立了风险评价指标体系,确定了风险度与指标权重,并就其结果进行了原因分析,进而计算出项目的总风险值。结果表明:微观层面的项目投资回报、技术成熟度和专业人才缺乏等风险因素影响较大,企业可将总风险值与设定的临界值进行比较,为产业投资决策提供参考。
With AHP AHP as a tool, through case analysis, the investment risk factors of modern coal chemical industry enterprises are evaluated. Established the risk evaluation index system, determined the risk degree and the index weight, and analyzed the result, and then calculated the total risk value of the project. The results show that: the risk factors such as project investment return, technology maturity and lack of professional personnel are more influential in the micro level. The enterprise can compare the total risk value with the set critical value to provide reference for industrial investment decision-making.