论文部分内容阅读
全球治理作为一种国际制度安排,实质上是国家之间利益与权力的博弈过程。新兴经济体群体性崛起,重塑了世界经济格局,实力与权力不相匹配的矛盾日益激化,推动着全球治理制度的变迁。文章通过建立发达国家与新兴经济体的演化博弈模型,揭示利益主体权力博弈诱发制度变迁的机理。研究表明,拥有绝对权力优势的发达大国主导着制度变迁的方向;制度也将随着各参与主体拥有权力大小的消长变化而不断演进。文章进一步指出,在权力结构发生调整的情况下,G20取代G7领导全球治理制度是制度变迁的历史必然。
As an international institutional arrangement, global governance is essentially a process of game between the interests and powers of nations. The emerging rise of groups in emerging economies has reshaped the pattern of the world economy and the conflicts between incompatible strengths and powers have intensified and the changes in the global governance system have been promoted. By establishing an evolutionary game model between developed countries and emerging economies, the article reveals the mechanism of interest-induced game change induced by the interests of stakeholders. The research shows that the developed countries with the absolute superiority of power dominate the direction of institutional change. The system will also evolve with the changing and changing of the power of each participant. The article further points out that with the adjustment of the power structure, it is inevitable that the G20 will replace G7 to lead the global governance system in the history of institutional change.