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国家地震局曾于1983—1985年组织全国地震系统各预报方法的清理攻关,作为第一个阶段,对各手段观测条件的考查,资料可靠性的论证和震例的鉴别等方面取得了较大的成功,同时对某些预报方法的效果也有了初步的估计。但是此次清理攻关工作应当是一项较长时期的任务。我认为,近一二年以上一阶段清理成果为基础,把制定各项方法预报工作条例作为主要内容,同时对八十年代预报研究现状作深入调研,对某些有可能较早
In 1983-1985, the State Seismological Bureau organized the clean-up of various forecasting methods of the national earthquake system. As the first stage, the inspection conditions of various means, the demonstration of data reliability and the identification of earthquake cases have been greatly improved The success of some forecasting methods at the same time also have a preliminary estimate of the effect. However, the current work on clean-up should be a longer-term task. In my opinion, based on the results of the first-stage clean-up in the past one or two years, the formulation of various working methods for forecasting the method has been taken as the main content. In the meantime, the status quo of forecast research in the 1980s has been investigated in depth. For some,