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本文采用中国1998~2014年的省级面板数据,构建空间面板模型,实证分析信息化对中国犯罪率的影响。研究结果表明:信息化水平的提高既改变了传统犯罪的结构、形式和方法,又催生了大量新型网络犯罪,造成中国的犯罪率呈现持续增长的态势。犯罪率的增加与经济发展、人口增加、城市化水平和信息化水平的提高具有伴生性,故不能完全消除犯罪,只能控制影响犯罪发生的要素。
This paper uses the provincial panel data from 1998 to 2014 in China to construct a spatial panel model to empirically analyze the impact of informatization on the crime rate in China. The results show that the improvement of informatization not only changes the structure, form and method of traditional crime, but also spawns a large number of new types of cybercrime, resulting in a continuous increase in the crime rate in China. The increase of the crime rate is accompanied by the increase of economic development, population increase, urbanization level and informatization. Therefore, the crime can not be completely eliminated but only the elements that affect the occurrence of the crime can be controlled.