奥巴马新能源计划可能成为美国经济新的增长点,并降低美国对石油的依赖,从而改变世界的能源格局、经济格局和政治格局。能否推行?奥巴马将在国际和国内遇到强大阻力。由于气候变化已经成为国际社会具有“政治正确性”的议题,美国的巨变必将给中国这样的发展中大国重大压力:支持者占据道义制高点;反对者国际形象受损,贸易面临制裁。中美在能源与气候领域,应大处着眼、小处着手,求同存异、合作共赢。 Obama’s new energy plan may become a new growth point for the U.S. economy and reduce the US’ dependence on oil, thus changing the world’s energy pattern, economic structure, and political structure. Can it be implemented? Obama will face strong resistance both at home and abroad. As climate change has become the subject of political correctness in the international community, the dramatic changes in the United States will inevitably put major pressure on developing countries such as China: supporters occupy a high ground in morality; opponents’ international image will suffer and trade faces sanctions. In the field of energy and climate, China and the United States should focus on the big picture and start small, seek common ground while reserving differences, and achieve win-win cooperation.