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引言现阶段,农业依然是中国经济发展的主要支柱产业。它既没有彻底摆脱为国家工业化提供原始积累的命运,而且仍是劳动资源和劳动就业的巨大“蓄水池”。就此而言,国民经济形势的好转与农业的发展紧密联系,农业的停滞、徘徊又是整个经济形势不景气的主要原因。但是,作为“母亲”产业的农业确实到了不堪重负的时刻了。耕地日趋减少的态势若任其发展,到本世纪末,随着人口的增长,将面临人均不足1.1亩耕地的严峻形势。而且环境污染,生态环境恶化,使土地的承载力已迫近临界状态。事实上,我国农业经济一直处于超负荷运行之中。如果说中国农业发展的前途不可乐观,主要的原因就在于资源的前途过分黯淡。
Introduction At this stage, agriculture is still the mainstay of China’s economic development. It neither completely eradicates the original accumulation of destiny for national industrialization, but it is still a huge “reservoir” for labor resources and employment. In this regard, the improvement of the national economy is closely linked with the development of agriculture. The stagnation and wandering of agriculture are the main reasons for the sluggish economy as a whole. However, agriculture as a “mother’s” industry was indeed overwhelmed. If the trend of declining arable land is to be allowed to develop, by the end of this century, as the population grows, it will face the severe situation of less than 1.1 mu of cultivated land per capita. Moreover, the environmental pollution and the deterioration of the ecological environment make the carrying capacity of land near the critical state. In fact, China’s agricultural economy has been in overloaded operation. If the future of China’s agricultural development is not optimistic, the main reason is that the future of resources is too bleak.