论文部分内容阅读
尽管“小阳春”的蓬勃势头令人欣喜,开发商亦蠢蠢欲动意图就势提价,但根据世邦魏理仕的分析判断,就此判断楼市全面回暖,房价拐头一路向北为时尚早。实际上,不论从政策角度还是市场角度来考量,2009年上海住宅价格最有可能出现的是高不成、低不就的“维稳”行情。世邦魏理仕称,2008年对于开发商而言并非一无所获。如果说去年四季度大规模的刺激楼市措施的出台是一种对于政策底的暗示,那么今年一季度市场成交的迅速回升则让开发商在自己不断降价的过程中终于探测到了市场认可的价格底部。2009年的上海住宅市场将在政府、开发商和购房者三方的博弈和默契中维持一种相对稳定的局面,“稳”字当头将成为主基调。
Despite the delightful momentum of “Little Spring”, developers are also ready to raise their prices. However, based on the analysis and judgment of CB Richard Ellis, it is still too early to judge that the property market will be fully warmed up. In fact, both in terms of policy and market, Shanghai housing prices in 2009 are most likely to be high and low not. CB Richard Ellis said that in 2008 for developers in terms of not nothing. If the massive stimulus measures introduced in the fourth quarter of last year were a hint at the end of the policy period, the rapid rise of market transactions in the first quarter of this year will allow developers to finally detect the bottom of the market-recognized prices during their continuous price cuts . In 2009, the Shanghai residential market will maintain a relatively stable situation in the game and understanding of the tripartite government, developers and homebuyers, and the word “stable” will become the main theme.