国内外许多学者认为,2000年世界经济将进入一个新的增长周期。我国今年初的各项统计数据也令人欣喜,但这是否意味着世界经济和我国经济将同步进入一个新的经济增长周期呢? 我认为,未来1—2年内,我国经济回升是一次“反弹”,而不是“反转”。因为未来5—10年我国经济发展的主要任务是结构大调整和深化体制改革,这不可能在短期内显见成效。 我国经济增长经历了7年的调整,从1993年的13.1％下调到了目前的7.1％。1993年—1996年是主动性调整,政府用“冷却法”解决了先期的经济“过 Many scholars at home and abroad think that the world economy will enter a new growth cycle in 2000. However, does this mean that the world economy and China’s economy will enter a new cycle of economic growth? In my opinion, China’s economy will rebound in the next 1-2 years “Instead of” reverse. “ Because the major task of China’s economic development in the next 5-10 years is to make structural readjustment and deepen structural reform, this can not be obviously effective in the short term. China’s economic growth has undergone a seven-year adjustment, down from 13.1% in 1993 to the current 7.1%. 1993-1996 is a proactive adjustment, the government used the ”cooling method“ to solve the pre-economic ”over