2016年,中国经济怎么走?传统的推动经济增长的“三驾马车”—出口、投资和内需,看起来都不算乐观。作为中国出口的主要市场,美国人一直在去杠杆,最近又加息。欧洲尚未从债务危机中恢复,现在又困于难民问题。总之,欧美要花钱的地方越来越多,而市场里的钱又越来越贵(利率提高)。那么,拿来购买中国商品的钱必然越来越少,这是常识。中低端消费品的出口格局,很大程度是“购买方”决定的,并非我们可以左右。对比起来,另外“两驾马车”投资和内需似 How the Chinese economy will go in 2016? The traditional “troika” for economic growth - exports, investment and domestic demand, do not look optimistic. As the main market for China’s exports, Americans have been de-leveraged and have recently raised interest rates again. Europe has not recovered from the debt crisis and is now stuck with the issue of refugees. In short, more and more places in Europe and the United States spend money, and the money in the market is more and more expensive (interest rates increase). So, the money used to buy Chinese goods will inevitably less and less, which is common sense. The export pattern of low-end consumer goods, to a large extent is “buyer ” decision, not that we can be so. In contrast, in addition, “two carriages” investment and domestic demand