在苏联解体问题上,存在不同的说法,各界人士从不同的视角予以解读,中间也存在着很大的分歧、激烈的争论甚至对立。我认为,苏联解体的根源的确是体制问题,是体制造成的所有弊端使苏联共产党在人民中丧失了威信,使人民对政权、对国家的经济和社会失去了信心。如果这种体制继续下去,剧变的出现是迟早的事情。从这个意义上说,它是不可避免的。但是,苏联解体却可以不在那个时候发生,如果改革得当,甚至也可以不发生。本文讲从苏联当时的局面,特点以及中国人如何看待苏联解体的各个角度来阐述。 Different opinions have been expressed on the issue of the disintegration of the Soviet Union. People from all walks of life interpret it from different perspectives. There are also great differences in the middle, with fierce arguments and even opposition. I think the root cause of the Soviet Union’s dissolution is indeed an institutional issue. It is all the drawbacks caused by the system that have left the Soviet Communist Party losing its prestige among the people and depriving the people of their confidence in the government and in the economy and society of the country. If this system continues, the emergence of catastrophe is a matter of time. In this sense, it is inevitable. However, the collapse of the Soviet Union may not occur at that time, and if the reform is properly done, it may even not happen. This article elaborates from the current situation and characteristics of the Soviet Union and the Chinese people’s views on how the Soviet Union disintegrated.