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(2013年第43期)中国需要什么样的改革?笔者认为需要两类改革,一类是提高劳动生产率,另一类是转变经济增长方式。说白了就是提高增长效率,调整经济结构。笔者认为,就目前中国经济所处的周期,一个简单而有效的衡量有无实质改革的量化指标就是明年的经济增速目标。增速下调不一定意味着改革,但是如果增长目标依然定在7.5%或更高,难以相信短期内会有重大改革。因为当前所处的经济周期要求通过改革去杠杆、降低投资速度、清理和消化过剩产能、
(No. 43, 2013) What kind of reform does China need? I think two kinds of reform are needed, one is to raise labor productivity and the other is to change the mode of economic growth. To put it plainly means to increase the efficiency of growth and readjust the economic structure. The author believes that with regard to the current cycle of China’s economy, a simple but effective quantitative indicator of whether or not there is any substantive reform is the economic growth target for next year. The slowdown is not necessarily a sign of reform, but if the growth target remains set at 7.5% or more, it is hard to believe that major reforms will take place in the short term. Because the current economic cycle requires de-leveraging by reform, reducing investment speed, cleaning up and digesting excess capacity,