近日,《远东经济评论》对亚洲一些国家今年的经济前景作了较为具体的预测。 马来西亚:美国经济会实现“软着陆”,而美国市场占据了马来西亚出口量的1/5,正是依赖出口才使该国能从1998年亚洲金融危机中迅速恢复。因此,美国经济走势对马来西亚经济影响巨大。今年该国私人消费和投资不会出现锐减,政府的预算赤字也将被控制在安全的GNP6％的水平。 韩国:今年韩国经济将呈下降趋势,这是不容置疑的。该国中央银行预计,GDP增长率会从2000年的9.3％降至5.3％,而其他主要指标,如出口增长亦呈 Recently, the Far Eastern Economic Review made a more specific forecast on the economic prospects of some Asian countries this year. Malaysia: The U.S. economy will achieve a “soft landing” while the U.S. market accounts for one-fifth of Malaysia’s exports. It is by relying on exports that the country can recover rapidly from the Asian financial crisis of 1998. Therefore, the U.S. economic trend has had a huge impact on the Malaysian economy. There will be no sharp drop in private consumption and investment in the country this year, and the government’s budget deficit will also be controlled at 6% of safe GNP. South Korea: South Korea’s economy will show a downward trend this year. This is beyond doubt. The country’s central bank predicts GDP growth will fall from 9.3% in 2000 to 5.3%, while other key indicators, such as export growth, have also been