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[本刊辑]农业部市场预警专家委员会发布的《中国农业展望报告2015-2024》报告预测,未来10年,奶类生产继续稳步发展,但进口量仍将较快增长。预计2024年,中国存栏100头以上奶牛规模化养殖比重将会达到65.0%,比2014年提高20个百分点。规模化程度的提升将直接推动中国奶牛单产水平的提高。展望期间,中国每头奶牛年产奶量将提高0.9吨,2024年达到6.5吨。总产奶量达到4 760万吨,展望期内平均增速为2.0%左右。
[Report] “Agricultural Outlook Forecast Report 2015-2024” issued by the Expert Committee of Market Early Warning Experts issued by the Ministry of Agriculture predicts that milk production will continue to develop steadily in the next 10 years, but the import volume will still grow rapidly. It is estimated that by 2024, the proportion of large-scale breeding of more than 100 dairy cows in China will reach 65.0%, an increase of 20% over 2014. The increase of scale will directly promote the improvement of the yield of dairy cows in China. During the forecast period, the annual milk production of each cows in China will increase by 0.9 tons and by 2024 reach 6.5 tons. The total milk production reached 47.6 million tons, with an average growth rate of 2.0% over the forecast period.