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日本(CIPA影像机器工业协会)近日公布日本数码相机产业的出货实绩,统计资料累积至2004年10月份,由于日本是全球DC/DSLR最大生产设计国家,该数据颇能反映市场现况: 要点一:高像素成为主流,未满300万像素或是300-400万像素的相机市场均呈现衰退,市场的主流已经推至500万像素以上; 要点二:500万像素以上的出货台数是去年的326%,400-500像素的出货台数是去年的261%。要点三:数码单反的出货台数达1,858,889,是去年的300%。要点四:数码单反的出货台数约占整个500万像素以上市场的10%。整体来看,虽然2004年数码相机市场仍有不错的成长幅度,不过,根据IDC、Info Trends、JP Morgan、Mizuho Securities、UBS、TRI、PIDA、AVG各机构所发布的预测资料来看,2005-2007年数码相机市场成长将有可能大幅趋缓。尤其是在2006年,数码相机市场成长率将可能降至个位数。而2004年较多的低价数码单反介入市场,可能会改变数码相机市场结构。基于上诉新闻,我刊《数码世界》采访了CANON公司相关部门。
Japan (CIPA Imaging Machine Industry Association) recently released Japan’s digital camera industry’s shipping performance statistics accumulated in October 2004, as Japan is the world’s largest DC / DSLR production design country, the data quite reflect the market situation: the main points A: high-pixel mainstream, less than 300 million pixels or 300-400 million pixels camera market recession, the market has pushed the mainstream to more than 5 million pixels; Point 2: 500 million pixels shipped more than the previous year Of the 326%, 400-500 pixels shipments last year, 261%. Point three: Digital SLR shipments amounted to 1,858,889, 300% of last year. Four points: the number of DSLR shipments of about 5 million pixels or more of the market over 10%. Overall, although the digital camera market in 2004 still has a good growth rate, according to the forecast data released by IDC, Info Trends, JP Morgan, Mizuho Securities, UBS, TRI, PIDA and AVG, 2007 digital camera market growth will likely slow down significantly. Especially in 2006, the digital camera market growth rate will likely be reduced to single-digit. In 2004 more low-cost digital SLR intervention market, may change the digital camera market structure. Based on the news of the appeal, I published “Digital World” and interviewed the relevant departments of CANON Company.