在过去几年里两个相互关联的重要事件增加了政治风险的指数:一个是全球金融危机,另一个是最近西亚北非地区的动乱。中国尤其是中国企业缺乏对非洲的政治和风险评估,北非的变局也引发了中国政府和学界在这一问题上的大讨论。欧盟在这一问题上的经验值得借鉴,这也为中国与欧盟在非洲投资和政治风险评估上的合作提供了可能。作者尝试用“国家稳定程度”来衡量中国在非洲的投资及政治风险。 In the past few years, two interrelated important events have raised the political risk index: one is the global financial crisis and the other is the recent unrest in West Asia and North Africa. The lack of political and risk assessment on Africa by China, especially Chinese enterprises, and the change in North Africa have also triggered a big discussion on this issue between the Chinese government and academic circles. The experience of the EU on this issue is worth learning from. This also provides the possibility for China and the EU to cooperate in the assessment of investment and political risks in Africa. The author attempts to measure China’s investment and political risks in Africa by using the “degree of national stability”.