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春节后,螺纹期价延续节前的上涨趋势,在2011年2月11日再创历史新高。之后螺纹期价高位调整,出现一定幅度的回调。对于螺纹后市,笔者认为,经过短期的调整后,后期螺纹有望企稳反弹,延续前期上涨趋势。螺纹期价后期看涨,主要是基于:一是原料价格上涨继续为螺纹市场后期看涨的主导因素。根据2月份公布的国内1月份铁矿石进口数据6897万吨可见,在前期国内对铁矿石价格上涨预期及钢铁产量回升的情况下,1月份铁矿石进口创历史新高,环比增加18%,同比增加47.94%。近期钢企基本上在消耗前期囤积的铁矿石库存,对高企的铁矿石保持
After the Spring Festival, the price of the thread continued the upward trend before the holiday and hit a new all-time high on February 11, 2011. After the thread high price adjustment, there is a certain degree of callback. For the thread market, I believe that after a short-term adjustment, the late thread is expected to stabilize a rebound, continuation of the previous upward trend. Late period of the bull market is bullish, mainly based on: First, rising raw material prices continue to dominate the late bull market for bullion. According to the January domestic iron ore import data released in February, 68.97 million tons, we can see that iron ore imports hit a record high in January, up 18% from the previous month on the expectation of rising iron ore prices and the rebound of steel output in the domestic market. , An increase of 47.94% over the same period of last year. Recent steel prices basically hoard iron ore stocks in the pre-consumption period, and maintain high iron ore prices