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本文通过对河北省1994-2011年的产业结构和地方税收进行协整和回归分析,发现1)河北产业结构与地方税收具有协整性,两者之间具有长期的均衡发展关系;2)2001年中国加入WTO以后,河北省产业结构与地方税收之间的关系发生了结构性的变化;3)WTO在推动河北产业结构优化升级和地方税收大幅度增长的同时,也给当地产业发展带来很多困扰。
Based on the co-integration and regression analysis of the industrial structure and local tax revenue in Hebei Province from 1994 to 2011, this paper finds that 1) the industrial structure in Hebei has a co-ordinated relationship with the local tax revenue, and has a long-term balanced development relationship between the two; 2) 2001 After China’s accession to the WTO, structural changes have taken place in the relationship between industrial structure and local tax revenue in Hebei Province; 3) While promoting the optimization and upgrading of Hebei’s industrial structure and the substantial growth of local taxes, WTO also brought about the development of local industries A lot of trouble.