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本文基于财产保险保费收入与货币供应量之间的关系,选取全国财产保险保费收入、货币与准货币之和两个指标构建自回归分布滞后模型,并使用恩格尔-格兰杰两步法对其进行协整检验。结果表明,我国财产保险的保费收入与货币供应量之间存在长期均衡关系,货币供应量对财产保险需求具有显著的的影响,即货币供应量在短期内对财产保费收入的影响为正。
Based on the relationship between the property insurance premium income and the money supply, this paper selects the two indicators of the national property insurance premium income, the sum of the currency and the quasi-money to build an autoregressive distribution lag model and uses ENGEL-Granger two-step method Co-integration test. The results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the premium income of property insurance in our country and the money supply, and the money supply has a significant impact on the demand for property insurance. That is to say, the impact of money supply on property premium income is positive in the short term.