以青岛市大沽河流域为例,为揭示水资源承载能力,在水资源优化配置的结果上采用PSR模型构建了水资源承载能力评价指标体系,分析了2015、2020、2030年的水资源承载能力,据此提出了对策和建议。结果表明,该区域各水平年水资源对人口、GDP和生态环境面积均已超载,超载率约3%。 Taking Dagu River Basin in Qingdao as an example, in order to reveal the carrying capacity of water resources, an index system of water resources carrying capacity was established based on the results of optimal allocation of water resources using PSR model. The water resources carrying capacity in 2015, 2020 and 2030 Ability, accordingly proposed the countermeasure and the suggestion. The results show that the annual water resources in all levels of the region have overloaded the population, GDP and ecological environment, with an overloading rate of about 3%.