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当前中国宏观经济面临诸多问题,其重要原因就在于中国资本流动性过剩。而资本流动性过剩产生的实质则是三大冲突的交融:即实体经济与虚拟经济的冲突,转轨期新体制与旧体制的冲突和开放经济下内外均衡的冲突。为此解决中国宏观经济运行矛盾的突破口在于解决资本流动性过剩,其战略思路应该以金融全球化背景为出发点,适应国际货币体系调整,以国家安全作为重点,实现三大均衡:一是实体经济和虚拟经济的均衡;二是新旧体制交叉期的制度均衡;三是开放条件下内外均衡。
At present, China’s macro economy faces many problems. The important reason for this is that China’s capital surplus is excess. The essence of excess capital liquidity is the blending of three major conflicts: the conflict between the real economy and the fictitious economy, the conflict between the new system and the old one in the transition period, and the equilibrium between the inside and the outside under the open economy. To solve this problem, China’s macroeconomic operation of the breakthrough lies in the solution to excess capital liquidity, the strategic thinking should be based on the background of financial globalization as the starting point to adapt to the adjustment of the international monetary system, with national security as the focus, to achieve three major equilibrium: First, the real economy And the balance of the fictitious economy; secondly, the institutional equilibrium between the old and new systems; and thirdly, the internal and external equilibrium under the open conditions.