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研究集装箱发货人在不完全信息情况下的运输路径选择决策。把发货人的集装箱运输路径选择决策理解为集装箱流在多式联运网络中的分配问题,给出集装箱流分配的变分不等式模型、算法及具体算例。研究发现港口航班密度、运输服务的供给能力会影响发货人的选择行为;集装箱航运市场的透明化能够提升优势港口的竞争力;港口的价格竞争策略并不一定能提升港口的吞吐量和收益;货物对时间和成本的需求特性差异、运输服务处理能力的限制是港口分散化的重要原因。
Research on Container Shippers’ Choice of Transportation Route Selection under Incomplete Information. The shipper ’s container transportation route selection decision is understood as the distribution problem of container flow in multimodal transport network, and the variational inequality model, algorithm and specific examples of container flow distribution are given. The study found that the density of port flights and the supply capacity of transport services will affect the consignor’s choice behavior. The transparency of the container shipping market can enhance the competitiveness of dominant ports. The port price competition strategy does not necessarily increase the port throughput and revenue ; The difference of the demand characteristics of goods with respect to time and cost and the limitation of the handling capacity of transportation services are the important reasons for the diversification of the port.