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以浙江省集体林区为对象,基于实地农户调查数据,采用两阶段聚类方法,在对农户生计策略进行客观分类的基础上,通过构建mlogit计量分析模型,实证检验了人力资本、社会资本和自然资本等不同生计资本对农户生计策略选择的影响。研究表明:①集体林区农户生计策略方式日趋多样化,非农收入是当前家庭主要收入来源,农村内部收入差异明显;②人力资本和社会资本对农户生计策略选择有显著影响,进而影响农户的生计状况,是决定农户分化的重要因素;③自然资本对农户生计策略选择有显著影响,但对农户生计状况的影响并不明显,自然资本尚未发挥其应有的作用。
Based on the survey data of farmland households in Zhejiang Province, a two-stage clustering method was used to classify collective livelihoods in Zhejiang Province. Based on the objective classification of household livelihood strategies, by constructing a model of mlogit econometric analysis, the paper tests empirically the relationship between human capital, social capital and The Influence of Natural Capital and Other Livelihood Capital on Farmers’ Livelihood Strategy Choice. The results show that: (1) the livelihood strategies of rural households in diversified forest areas are becoming more and more diversified. Non-farm income is the main source of family income, and the internal income differences in rural areas are obviously different. (2) Human capital and social capital have a significant impact on peasant household’s livelihood strategy choices, The livelihood status is an important factor in determining the differentiation of rural households. (3) Natural capital has a significant impact on the choice of livelihood strategies of rural households, but has no obvious effect on the living conditions of rural households. Natural capital has not yet played its due role.