在地震危险性的概率分析中,首先要确定潜在的震源及其类型划分。目前已发表的报告中,多偏重于模型计算,而对潜在震源类型的划分往往阐述得不够具体。为此,作者根据有关文献加之个人的经验体会,对“断裂-破裂模型”有关的潜在震源的确定和震源类型划分的方法和步骤作以下的讨论。 In the probability analysis of seismic hazard, we must first determine the potential source and its type classification. The reports published so far mostly focus on model calculation, but the division of potential source types is often not detailed enough. To this end, the author based on the literature plus personal experience, the determination of the potential source of “fracture-rupture model” and hypocenter type classification methods and steps for the following discussion.