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目的 探讨淄博市张店区手足口病发病与气象因素之间的关系,为预测淄博市张店区手足口病发病情况提供依据。方法 收集2007-2009年淄博市张店区月度手足口病发病资料和气象资料(气温、气压、湿度、降水天数、降水量),使用SPSS13.0对手足口病和气象因素资料进行相关和回归分析。结果 手足口病受气象因素影响较大,经逐步回归方法分析,发现气温、气压、平均降水量、相对湿度、降水天数5个参数均进入方程。结论 气象因素与手足口病发病关系密切。
Objective To explore the relationship between hand-foot-mouth disease and weather in Zhangdian District, Zibo City, and to provide a basis for predicting the incidence of hand-foot-mouth disease in Zhangdian District of Zibo City. Methods The incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease and meteorological data (temperature, barometric pressure, humidity, days of precipitation, precipitation) of monthly hand-foot-mouth disease in Zhangdian District of Zibo City from 2007 to 2009 were collected and correlated and regressed by hand, foot and mouth disease and meteorological factors data analysis. Results Hand-foot-mouth disease was greatly influenced by meteorological factors. After stepwise regression analysis, it was found that the five parameters of temperature, air pressure, average precipitation, relative humidity and precipitation days all entered the equation. Conclusion The meteorological factors are closely related to the pathogenesis of HFMD.