经济发展模式决定国家竞争形态。农业文明或工业文明时代,一个国家、民族的发展和强盛高度依赖于对土地、矿产、能源等稀缺性资源的占有和开发,当本国资源禀赋和对外贸易能力无法满足高速发展需要时,依托武力的开疆拓土和殖民掠夺也就成为某些“雄心”大国们的必然选项,这在近代西方大国崛起历程中得到广泛印证,这就是“大国兴起必然伴随战争”观点的基本经济逻辑,即所谓“修昔底德陷阱”。 Economic development determines the pattern of state competition. In the era of agricultural civilization or industrial civilization, the development and prosperity of a country or nation depend highly on the possession and exploitation of scarce resources such as land, minerals and energy. When the domestic resource endowments and foreign trade capabilities can not meet the needs of rapid development, The opening up of territories and the plundering of colonial colonies have also become the inevitable choice of some “ambitious” great powers. This has been widely confirmed in the rise of modern Western powers, and this is the basic point of view that “the rise of a great nation necessarily follows the war.” Economic logic, the so-called “Thucydides Trap”.