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2016年12月美联储终于迎来加息,美元指数受此提振走强,打压大宗商品出现回调,铝价亦不例外。沪铝指数一路下跌,截至报告日运行至12500元/吨附近。临近年末,资金面紧张格局延续,叠加下游需求逐步转淡,预计铝价偏弱调整为主。进入2017年,铝市好坏因素参半,供大于求格局压制铝价上涨空间,但环保限产及供给侧改革的政策对铝价形成支撑,预计铝价宽幅震荡运行,难以出现2016年的暴涨行情。
In December 2016, the Federal Reserve finally ushered in the rate hike. The U.S. dollar index boosted this strength and suppressed the commodity price correction. Aluminum prices are no exception. Shanghai aluminum index all the way down, up to the reporting date to 12,500 yuan / ton in the vicinity. Towards the end of the year, the capital-intensive situation continued to be tense and the demand for the downstream of the superposition gradually dwindled. It is estimated that the adjustment of the aluminum price will be mainly weak. In 2017, the aluminum market is mixed with both good and bad conditions, while the pattern of oversupply will suppress the space for aluminum prices to rise. However, policies on environmental protection and supply-side reform support the aluminum price. It is expected that aluminum prices will fluctuate in a wide range and will hardly show up in 2016 Soaring market.