,Predicting future dynamics from short-term time series using an Anticipated Learning Machine

来源 :国家科学评论(英文版) | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:tangguopingzhang
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
Predicting time series has significant practical applications over different disciplines.Here,we propose an Anticipated Leaing Machine (ALM) to achieve precise future-state predictions based on short-term but high-dimensional data.From non-linear dynamical systems theory,we show that ALM can transform recent correlation/spatial information of high-dimensional variables into future dynamical/temporal information of any target variable,thereby overcoming the small-sample problem and achieving multistep-ahead predictions.Since the training samples generated from high-dimensional data also include information of the unknown future values of the target variable,it is called anticipated leaing.Extensive experiments on real-world data demonstrate significantly superior performances of ALM over all of the existing 12 methods.In contrast to traditional statistics-based machine leaing,ALM is based on non-linear dynamics,thus opening a new way for dynamics-based machine leaing.
其他文献
Colorectal cancer is one of the most common malignancies and is the second leading cause of cancer death worldwide.Generally,there are three categories ofcolore
The speed of high-resolution optical imaging has been a rate-limiting factor for meso-scale mapping of brain structures and functional circuits,which is of fund
The rapid development of printed and microscale electronics imminently requires compatible micro-batteries (MBs) with high performance,applicable scalability,an
3S技术和地统计学已经越来越广泛的用于土壤学领域的研究,不仅用于小尺度的土壤养分空间变异的研究,还可以用于大尺度的耕地地力评价。本研究以增城市为例进行了大尺度的土壤肥
传统的农作物面积统计通常采用人工统计的方法,费时费力,并且精确度不高,实时性不强。遥感是获取农田信息的一种重要手段,传统的农业遥感手段主要有卫星遥感和载人飞机遥感,这两种
沟坡道路侵蚀是黄土高塬沟壑区普遍存在、侵蚀程度较高的一种侵蚀类型。它切断了原来的水流路线,汇集了塬面、农田、村庄、农舍产生的大量径流,加之道路路面产流效率极高,径
新增耕地是土地整理项目的主要目标之一,对土地整理工作顺利开展具有重要意义。在土地整理项目中,确定新增耕地有效面积尚缺乏统一测算方法的支撑。如何科学、准确地测算新增
ENSO is the strongest interannual signal in the global climate system with worldwide climatic, ecological and societal impacts. Over the past decades, the research about ENSO prediction and predictabi
In network science,the non-homogeneity of node degrees has been a concing issue for study.Yet,with today’s mod web technologies,the traditional social communic
Commercial nitric acid (HNO3) and ammonia (NH3) are mostly produced through the Ostwald process and the Haber-Bosch process, respectively. However, high energy