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●2004年电煤订货会取得了很大成功。国家出台的上网电价上调7厘钱/千瓦时的政策,是自取消电煤指导价以来电价调整的历史性突破。但当前电煤供应形势仍很紧张。●2004年电煤的紧张局面可能不会低于2003年,其最根本的原因仍在于经济的高速增长。各行业的用煤都在快速增长,而煤矿的建设发展跟不上经济发展速度。●2003年我国煤炭产量猛增2亿吨,达到17亿吨,是在市场需求刺激下,严重超能力增产的结果;煤炭从产量上已提前6年超过了到2010年16亿吨的规划目标,但实际生产能力只有13~14亿吨。●从中长期看,煤炭资源与铁路运力的双重约束,是电源建设不可忽视的两大因素。
● 2004 coal orders have achieved great success. The national policy of raising the on-grid electricity tariff by 7% / kWh is a historic breakthrough in the tariff adjustment since the cancellation of the guiding price of coal. However, the current coal supply situation is still very tense. ● The tension in coal power in 2004 may not be lower than in 2003, the most fundamental reason is still the rapid economic growth. The use of coal in all industries is growing rapidly, while the construction of coal mines can not keep up with the pace of economic development. ● In 2003, the output of coal in our country soared by 200 million tons to 1.7 billion tons, which was the result of a serious increase of super-capacity under the stimulus of market demand. The output of coal exceeded the planned target of 1.6 billion tons by 2010 six years ahead of schedule , But the actual production capacity of only 13 to 1.4 billion tons. ● In the medium and long term, the dual constraints of coal resources and railway capacity are two major factors that can not be ignored in power supply construction.