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利用1997年至2007年177个国家或地区分产品双边贸易流量数据,探讨不同国家或地区出口产品的技术水平以及影响因素。依据贝叶斯模型平均方法的实证分析中,研究发现除了传统的国家特征变量的积极作用以外,例如要素禀赋、研究与发展和贸易开放度等,体现金融发展水平的相关指标对一国出口产品技术水平具有重要的影响作用。综合上述研究和发现,中国出口产品技术水平与贸易发展不存在“Rodrik之谜”。
Using the bilateral trade flow data of 177 countries or regions from 1997 to 2007, this paper explores the technical level and influencing factors of export products from different countries and regions. Based on the empirical analysis of the Bayesian model averaging method, the study finds that in addition to the positive role of traditional national variables, such as factor endowments, research and development and trade openness, Technical level has an important impact. Based on the above research and findings, the technical level of China’s export products and the development of trade do not exist. “Rodrik’s Puzzle.”